| Date | This Team | Opponent | Expected vs. Actual | Change | New Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/17/25 | NOVA (319) | vs Dominion (58) | +31.2 | 519.1 |  Stats | |
| 03/15/25 | NOVA (201) | vs Rocktown (139) | +8.6 | 487.9 | Stats | |
| 08/31/24 | NOVA (174) | vs Dominion (164) | +2.4 | 479.3 | Stats | |
| 06/01/24 | NOVA (93) | vs Dutchland (198) | -9.9 | 476.9 | Stats | |
| 04/27/24 | NOVA (186) | vs Southern Delaware (313) | -8.7 | 486.8 | Stats | |
| 05/07/23 | NOVA (110) | vs Harrisburg (209) | -39.0 | 495.5 | Stats | |
| 04/01/23 | NOVA (261) | vs Free State (107) | +34.3 | 534.5 | Stats | |
| 11/02/19 | NOVA (197) | vs Morgantown (106) | +10.3 | 500.2 | Stats | |
| 09/07/19 | NOVA (189) | vs Dominion (177) | +28.3 | 489.9 | Stats | |
| 08/17/19 | NOVA (106) | vs Free State (238) | -5.1 | 461.6 | Stats | |
| 05/19/19 | NOVA (311) | vs Diamond State (117) | +7.1 | 466.7 | Stats | |
| 04/27/19 | NOVA (181) | vs Fredericksburg (100) | +13.1 | 459.7 | Stats | |
| 04/21/18 | NOVA (142) | vs Southern Delaware (191) | +3.4 | 446.6 | Stats | |
| 09/23/17 | NOVA (107) | vs Morgantown (246) | -21.0 | 443.2 | Stats | |
| 07/15/17 | NOVA (137) | vs Fredericksburg (188) | 464.2 | Stats |
| Date | Teams | Score | Incoming Ratings | Expected | Actual | Expected vs. Actual | Change | New Ratings | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/17/25 | NOVA Dominion | 319 58 | 487.9 465.7 | 0.16 | 0.69 | +31.2 -31.2 | 519.1 434.5 | Stats | |
| 03/15/25 | NOVA Rocktown | 201 139 | 479.3 482.9 | 0.04 | 0.18 | +8.6 -8.6 | 487.9 474.3 | Stats | |
| 08/31/24 | NOVA Dominion | 174 164 | 476.9 468.1 | -0.01 | 0.03 | +2.4 -2.4 | 479.3 465.7 | Stats | |
| 06/01/24 | NOVA Dutchland | 93 198 | 486.8 515.0 | -0.19 | -0.36 | -9.9 +9.9 | 476.9 524.9 | Stats | |
| 04/27/24 | NOVA Southern Delaware | 186 313 | 495.5 528.0 | -0.11 | -0.25 | -8.7 +8.7 | 486.8 536.7 | Stats | |
| 05/07/23 | NOVA Harrisburg | 110 209 | 534.5 450.3 | 0.35 | -0.31 | -39.0 +39.0 | 495.5 489.3 | Stats | |
| 04/01/23 | NOVA Free State | 261 107 | 500.2 544.1 | -0.16 | 0.42 | +34.3 -34.3 | 534.5 509.7 | Stats | |
| 11/02/19 | NOVA Morgantown | 197 106 | 489.9 475.6 | 0.13 | 0.30 | +10.3 -10.3 | 500.2 465.3 | Stats | |
| 09/07/19 | NOVA Dominion | 189 177 | 461.6 546.9 | -0.45 | 0.03 | +28.3 -28.3 | 489.9 518.6 | Stats | |
| 08/17/19 | NOVA Free State | 106 238 | 466.7 539.0 | -0.30 | -0.38 | -5.1 +5.1 | 461.6 544.1 | Stats | |
| 05/19/19 | NOVA Diamond State | 311 117 | 459.7 379.4 | 0.33 | 0.45 | +7.1 -7.1 | 466.7 372.4 | Stats | |
| 04/27/19 | NOVA Fredericksburg | 181 100 | 446.6 422.3 | 0.07 | 0.29 | +13.1 -13.1 | 459.7 409.2 | Stats | |
| 04/21/18 | NOVA Southern Delaware | 142 191 | 443.2 473.8 | -0.20 | -0.15 | +3.4 -3.4 | 446.6 470.4 | Stats | |
| 09/23/17 | NOVA Morgantown | 107 246 | 464.2 460.8 | -0.04 | -0.39 | -21.0 +21.0 | 443.2 481.8 | Stats | |
| 07/15/17 | NOVA Fredericksburg | 137 188 | [unranked] 490.2 | -0.16 | | 464.2 490.2 | Stats |
